Forecasting

What the hospital will need next week, next month, and how to prepare

Friday, May 1, 2026
Predicted Daily Consumption

3,050 items/day by Mar 29

+10% vs. current average

Outbreak Risk

HIGH

Flu surge — 40-60% ED increase predicted

April Spend Forecast

$942K

$32K over budget — seasonal surge

Predicted Consumption — Next 14 Days

How many supply items the hospital is expected to consume each day over the next two weeks. The forecast combines: historical usage patterns, scheduled surgeries, patient census projections, and the incoming flu surge from CDC surveillance data.

Actual (past)
AI forecast (future)
90% confidence range
Why is demand rising? (1) Surgical volume is 55% above normal Mar 23–27. (2) CDC flu surveillance predicts a respiratory surge increasing ED PPE/medication consumption.

Monthly Spend Forecast

What the hospital is projected to spend on supplies each month. After March, the AI forecasts future spend based on scheduled procedures, seasonal patterns, and the flu surge.

Actual spend
AI forecasted
Budget

What Happens to Our Inventory If...

Select a scenario to see how it impacts supply consumption, stockout risk, and cost over the next 2–4 weeks.

Normal Operations — No Action Needed

PPE Burn Rate

5,000 /week

Stock covers 6.4 days

Medication Usage

3,200 /week

2 items below reorder

Stockout Risk

3 items

Heparin, Vicryl 3-0, Vent Circuits

Extra Cost

$0

On track — $59K under budget YTD

Prediction Alerts

Forward-looking alerts: outbreak intelligence, demand predictions, and proactive recommendations.

Full Analysis

CDC ILINet data shows 34% week-over-week increase in influenza-like illness in San Francisco County. Wastewater surveillance confirms rising viral load. Additionally, 30 flu vaccination appointments have been booked this month — a 3x increase over February — signaling heightened community awareness and demand. Model predicts 40-60% increase in ED respiratory visits within 7-10 days.

Recommended Action

Pre-order additional flu vaccine doses (est. 50 units), Tamiflu (est. 200 units), rapid flu tests (est. 1,500 units), N95 masks (est. 3,000 units), and vaccination supplies (syringes, alcohol pads). Auto-adjust PAR levels for respiratory supplies.

Projected Impact

Prevents estimated $45,000 in emergency procurement costs

Health Canopy AI

Inventory intelligence agent

Hi! I'm your inventory AI agent.

I have real-time access to UCSF's inventory across all 5 campuses, purchase orders, equipment maintenance, compliance data, and AI forecasts.

Scripted demo — responses reflect UCSF inventory data